Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction & Preview

Liverpool
Moderate · 66%
Premier League
Finished
1:1
Chelsea

Prediction

Liverpool41%
Draw41%
Chelsea18%
Pick: Liverpool
Confidence
66

AI Analysis

Liverpool are strongly favored to win this encounter against a Chelsea side currently in a dismal run of form. Their superior home record, higher league standing, and recent momentum stand in stark contrast to Chelsea's alarming five consecutive losses, making a home victory the most probable outcome.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

Liverpool are strongly favored to win this encounter against a Chelsea side currently in a dismal run of form. Their superior home record, higher league standing, and recent momentum stand in stark contrast to Chelsea's alarming five consecutive losses, making a home victory the most probable outcome.

9 May · 11:10pre_kickoffCurrent
Liverpool
41%-1pp
Draw
41%+1pp
Chelsea
18%
9 May · 06:43Initial
Liverpool
42%-7pp
Draw
40%+15pp
Chelsea
18%-8pp
1 May · 06:56initial
Liverpool
49%
Draw
25%
Chelsea
26%

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Liverpool vs Chelsea result & stats

Final score: Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea. Liverpool sit 4th with 58 points from 35 games (17W 7D 11L) in the Premier League, while Chelsea are 9th with 48 points from 35 games (13W 9D 13L). Liverpool have won 3 of their last 5, while Chelsea are without a win in their last 5 matches. Liverpool average 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Chelsea average 1.5 scored and 1.4 conceded. Liverpool have 9 players listed as injured or suspended, Chelsea 7 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Liverpool a 41% chance of winning, a draw 41% and Chelsea 18%, favouring Liverpool to win with 66% confidence.

Liverpool and Chelsea statistics before kick-off
LiverpoolStatisticChelsea
4thLeague position9th
58Points48
17 / 7 / 11Won / Drawn / Lost13 / 9 / 13
+12Goal difference+6
1.7Goals scored per game1.5
1.3Goals conceded per game1.4
9Injured / suspended7

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