Monaco vs Lille Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 58%
Ligue 1
Finished
Monaco
0:1
Lille

Prediction

Monaco30%
Draw42%
Lille28%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
58

AI Analysis

This encounter pits two strong, in-form teams against each other, with Lille's formidable away record and defensive resilience poised to counter Monaco's potent attack at home. Both sides are in excellent league form, suggesting a tightly contested battle where neither is likely to secure a decisive advantage, making a draw the most probable outcome.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

This encounter pits two strong, in-form teams against each other, with Lille's formidable away record and defensive resilience poised to counter Monaco's potent attack at home. Both sides are in excellent league form, suggesting a tightly contested battle where neither is likely to secure a decisive advantage, making a draw the most probable outcome.

10 May · 18:30pre_kickoffCurrent
Monaco
30%-1pp
Draw
42%
Lille
28%+1pp
10 May · 06:55Initial
Monaco
31%-11pp
Draw
42%+17pp
Lille
27%-6pp
30 Apr · 06:54initial
Monaco
42%
Draw
25%
Lille
33%

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Monaco vs Lille result & stats

Final score: Monaco 0–1 Lille. Monaco sit 6th with 54 points from 32 games (16W 6D 10L) in the Ligue 1, while Lille are 4th with 58 points from 32 games (17W 7D 8L). Monaco have won 2 of their last 5, while Lille have won 3 of their last 5. Monaco average 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Lille average 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded. Monaco have 6 players listed as injured or suspended, Lille 6 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Monaco a 30% chance of winning, a draw 42% and Lille 28%, favouring a draw with 58% confidence.

Monaco and Lille statistics before kick-off
MonacoStatisticLille
6thLeague position4th
54Points58
16 / 6 / 10Won / Drawn / Lost17 / 7 / 8
+8Goal difference+16
1.8Goals scored per game1.6
1.5Goals conceded per game1.1
6Injured / suspended6

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