Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 62%
Premier League
Finished

Prediction

Newcastle37%
Draw42%
Bournemouth21%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
62

AI Analysis

This match is projected to be a tightly contested affair, with the Goalytics AI model pointing towards a draw as a highly probable outcome. Despite Newcastle's slightly better league position and form, key injuries and Bournemouth's defensive resilience could see the points shared at St. James' Park.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History2 versions

This match is projected to be a tightly contested affair, with the Goalytics AI model pointing towards a draw as a highly probable outcome. Despite Newcastle's slightly better league position and form, key injuries and Bournemouth's defensive resilience could see the points shared at St. James' Park.

5 Sept · 11:03pre_kickoffCurrent
Newcastle
37%-3pp
Draw
42%+16pp
Bournemouth
21%-13pp
26 Aug · 06:05initial
Newcastle
40%
Draw
26%
Bournemouth
34%

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Newcastle vs Bournemouth result & stats

Final score: Newcastle 2–2 Bournemouth. Newcastle sit 7th with 4 points from 2 games (1W 1D 0L) in the Premier League, while Bournemouth are 14th with 1 points from 2 games (0W 1D 1L). Newcastle have 4 players listed as injured or suspended, Bournemouth 4 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Newcastle a 37% chance of winning, a draw 42% and Bournemouth 21%, favouring a draw with 62% confidence.

Newcastle and Bournemouth statistics before kick-off
NewcastleStatisticBournemouth
7thLeague position14th
4Points1
1 / 1 / 0Won / Drawn / Lost0 / 1 / 1
+2Goal difference-1
4Injured / suspended4

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