Newcastle vs Brighton — AI Prediction

Draw
Cautious · 63%
Premier League
Finished
Newcastle
Newcastle
3:1
Brighton
Brighton

Prediction

Newcastle29%
Draw42%
Brighton29%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
63

AI Analysis

This match is poised for a draw, primarily due to Brighton's strong recent form and higher league position being somewhat offset by Newcastle's home advantage and a significant injury list for both sides. While Brighton looks the better team, their away record isn't as dominant, and Newcastle will be looking to stabilize at home amidst their poor run.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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AI Model Ratings

Newcastle2.52
Draw3.55
Brighton2.55

Match Info

Kick-off
StatusFinished
LeaguePremier League
Prediction History3 versions

This match is poised for a draw, primarily due to Brighton's strong recent form and higher league position being somewhat offset by Newcastle's home advantage and a significant injury list for both sides. While Brighton looks the better team, their away record isn't as dominant, and Newcastle will be looking to stabilize at home amidst their poor run.

2 May · 13:52pre_kickoffCurrent
Newcastle
29%-8pp
Draw
42%+16pp
Brighton
29%-8pp
2 May · 06:40Initial
Newcastle
37%-1pp
Draw
26%
Brighton
37%+1pp
30 Apr · 06:56initial
Newcastle
38%
Draw
26%
Brighton
36%

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