Newcastle vs West Ham Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 61%
Premier League
Finished
3:1

Prediction

Newcastle35%
Draw41%
West Ham24%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
61

AI Analysis

This match is set to be a tightly contested affair, with Newcastle's significant injury crisis undermining their home advantage and consistent performance. West Ham, despite their struggles, will be desperate for points in a relegation battle, which could see them adopt a resolute approach to secure a draw against a weakened opponent.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

This match is set to be a tightly contested affair, with Newcastle's significant injury crisis undermining their home advantage and consistent performance. West Ham, despite their struggles, will be desperate for points in a relegation battle, which could see them adopt a resolute approach to secure a draw against a weakened opponent.

17 May · 16:09pre_kickoffCurrent
Newcastle
35%
Draw
41%
West Ham
24%
17 May · 06:58Initial
Newcastle
35%-14pp
Draw
41%+16pp
West Ham
24%-2pp
4 May · 07:02initial
Newcastle
49%
Draw
25%
West Ham
26%

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Newcastle vs West Ham result & stats

Final score: Newcastle 3–1 West Ham. Newcastle sit 13th with 46 points from 36 games (13W 7D 16L) in the Premier League, while West Ham are 18th with 36 points from 36 games (9W 9D 18L). Newcastle have won 1 of their last 5, while West Ham have won 2 of their last 5. Newcastle average 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; West Ham average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded. Newcastle have 5 players listed as injured or suspended, West Ham 2 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Newcastle a 35% chance of winning, a draw 41% and West Ham 24%, favouring a draw with 61% confidence.

Newcastle and West Ham statistics before kick-off
NewcastleStatisticWest Ham
13thLeague position18th
46Points36
13 / 7 / 16Won / Drawn / Lost9 / 9 / 18
-2Goal difference-20
1.4Goals scored per game1.2
1.4Goals conceded per game1.7
5Injured / suspended2

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