Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 59%
Premier League
Finished

Prediction

Nott'm Forest27%
Draw43%
Newcastle30%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
59

AI Analysis

Nottingham Forest enters this match in excellent form, riding a wave of positive results, while Newcastle is struggling significantly, especially on the road. Despite Newcastle's overall league position being slightly better, their current slump and numerous defensive injuries create an opportunity for Forest. However, Forest's own home record isn't dominant, and a multitude of injuries on both sides, combined with conflicting historical and form signals, suggest a closely contested draw.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

Full analysis for members only

Sign in to unlock deep AI insights

Sign in free
Prediction History3 versions

Nottingham Forest enters this match in excellent form, riding a wave of positive results, while Newcastle is struggling significantly, especially on the road. Despite Newcastle's overall league position being slightly better, their current slump and numerous defensive injuries create an opportunity for Forest. However, Forest's own home record isn't dominant, and a multitude of injuries on both sides, combined with conflicting historical and form signals, suggest a closely contested draw.

10 May · 12:40pre_kickoffCurrent
Nottingham Forest
27%
Draw
43%
Newcastle
30%
10 May · 06:56Initial
Nottingham Forest
27%-11pp
Draw
43%+15pp
Newcastle
30%-4pp
1 May · 06:56initial
Nottingham Forest
38%
Draw
28%
Newcastle
34%

Sign in to unlock the full breakdown

Market signals, match stats and prediction timeline

Sign in free
Comments

Sign in to leave a comment.

No comments yet. Be the first!

Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle result & stats

Final score: Nottingham Forest 1–1 Newcastle. Nottingham Forest sit 16th with 42 points from 35 games (11W 9D 15L) in the Premier League, while Newcastle are 13th with 45 points from 35 games (13W 6D 16L). Nottingham Forest have won 4 of their last 5, while Newcastle have won 1 of their last 5. Nottingham Forest average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Newcastle average 1.4 scored and 1.5 conceded. Nottingham Forest have 8 players listed as injured or suspended, Newcastle 4 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Nottingham Forest a 27% chance of winning, a draw 43% and Newcastle 30%, favouring a draw with 59% confidence.

Nottingham Forest and Newcastle statistics before kick-off
Nott'm ForestStatisticNewcastle
16thLeague position13th
42Points45
11 / 9 / 15Won / Drawn / Lost13 / 6 / 16
-2Goal difference-2
1.3Goals scored per game1.4
1.3Goals conceded per game1.5
8Injured / suspended4

Next matches

More Premier League Predictions

View all →