Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 62%
La Liga
Finished

Prediction

Osasuna30%
Draw43%
Atletico27%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
62

AI Analysis

This match appears finely balanced, with Atletico Madrid's significant injury concerns and inconsistent away form likely to be challenged by Osasuna's strong home record and desire to bounce back from recent defeats. While Atletico generally has superior quality, their struggles on the road and a depleted squad could pave the way for a hard-fought draw against a resilient home side.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

This match appears finely balanced, with Atletico Madrid's significant injury concerns and inconsistent away form likely to be challenged by Osasuna's strong home record and desire to bounce back from recent defeats. While Atletico generally has superior quality, their struggles on the road and a depleted squad could pave the way for a hard-fought draw against a resilient home side.

12 May · 19:13pre_kickoffCurrent
Osasuna
30%-7pp
Draw
43%+16pp
Atletico Madrid
27%-9pp
12 May · 06:58Initial
Osasuna
37%+1pp
Draw
27%
Atletico Madrid
36%-1pp
4 May · 07:03initial
Osasuna
36%
Draw
27%
Atletico Madrid
37%

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Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid result & stats

Final score: Osasuna 1–2 Atletico Madrid. Osasuna sit 11th with 42 points from 35 games (11W 9D 15L) in the La Liga, while Atletico Madrid are 4th with 63 points from 35 games (19W 6D 10L). Osasuna have won 1 of their last 5, while Atletico Madrid have won 2 of their last 5. Osasuna average 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Atletico Madrid average 1.7 scored and 1.1 conceded. Osasuna have 2 players listed as injured or suspended, Atletico Madrid 8 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Osasuna a 30% chance of winning, a draw 43% and Atletico Madrid 27%, favouring a draw with 62% confidence.

Osasuna and Atletico Madrid statistics before kick-off
OsasunaStatisticAtletico
11thLeague position4th
42Points63
11 / 9 / 15Won / Drawn / Lost19 / 6 / 10
-3Goal difference+20
1.2Goals scored per game1.7
1.3Goals conceded per game1.1
2Injured / suspended8

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