Oviedo vs Alaves Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 60%
La Liga
Finished
Oviedo
0:1
Alaves

Prediction

Oviedo16%
Draw44%
Alaves40%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
60

AI Analysis

This match pits two teams struggling for consistency, with Oviedo rooted to the bottom and Alaves hovering just above the relegation zone. Oviedo's anemic home attack combined with their gritty, often defensive displays at home suggests a low-scoring affair where they are difficult to beat outright, while Alaves' inconsistent away form makes an emphatic victory unlikely, pointing towards a shared spoils scenario.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

This match pits two teams struggling for consistency, with Oviedo rooted to the bottom and Alaves hovering just above the relegation zone. Oviedo's anemic home attack combined with their gritty, often defensive displays at home suggests a low-scoring affair where they are difficult to beat outright, while Alaves' inconsistent away form makes an emphatic victory unlikely, pointing towards a shared spoils scenario.

17 May · 15:42pre_kickoffCurrent
Oviedo
16%
Draw
44%+1pp
Alaves
40%-1pp
17 May · 06:59Initial
Oviedo
16%-19pp
Draw
43%+15pp
Alaves
41%+4pp
11 May · 07:11initial
Oviedo
35%
Draw
28%
Alaves
37%

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Oviedo vs Alaves result & stats

Final score: Oviedo 0–1 Alaves. Oviedo sit 20th with 29 points from 36 games (6W 11D 19L) in the La Liga, while Alaves are 16th with 40 points from 36 games (10W 10D 16L). Oviedo are without a win in their last 5 matches, while Alaves have won 2 of their last 5. Oviedo average 0.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Alaves average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded. Oviedo have 3 players listed as injured or suspended, Alaves 2 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Oviedo a 16% chance of winning, a draw 44% and Alaves 40%, favouring a draw with 60% confidence.

Oviedo and Alaves statistics before kick-off
OviedoStatisticAlaves
20thLeague position16th
29Points40
6 / 11 / 19Won / Drawn / Lost10 / 10 / 16
-30Goal difference-12
0.7Goals scored per game1.2
1.6Goals conceded per game1.5
3Injured / suspended2

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