Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves Prediction & Preview

Draw
Moderate · 65%
La Liga
Finished

Prediction

Rayo34%
Draw47%
Alaves19%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
65

AI Analysis

This match is predicted to end in a draw, as the Goalytics AI model sees a finely balanced contest despite Alaves' strong start to the season. While Alaves carries momentum, Rayo Vallecano's historical head-to-head performance against them, coupled with their first home game of the season, suggests they have the capacity to secure a point.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

This match is predicted to end in a draw, as the Goalytics AI model sees a finely balanced contest despite Alaves' strong start to the season. While Alaves carries momentum, Rayo Vallecano's historical head-to-head performance against them, coupled with their first home game of the season, suggests they have the capacity to secure a point.

20 Aug · 18:33pre_kickoffCurrent
Rayo Vallecano
34%
Draw
47%-1pp
Alaves
19%+1pp
20 Aug · 06:01Initial
Rayo Vallecano
34%-12pp
Draw
48%+18pp
Alaves
18%-6pp
14 Aug · 06:01initial
Rayo Vallecano
46%
Draw
30%
Alaves
24%

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Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves result & stats

Final score: Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Alaves. Rayo Vallecano sit 17th with 0 points from 1 games (0W 0D 1L) in the La Liga, while Alaves are 2nd with 3 points from 1 games (1W 0D 0L). Rayo Vallecano have 2 players listed as injured or suspended, Alaves 2 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Rayo Vallecano a 34% chance of winning, a draw 47% and Alaves 19%, favouring a draw with 65% confidence.

Rayo Vallecano and Alaves statistics before kick-off
RayoStatisticAlaves
17thLeague position2nd
0Points3
0 / 0 / 1Won / Drawn / Lost1 / 0 / 0
-1Goal difference+3
2Injured / suspended2

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