RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli Prediction & Preview

RB Leipzig
High · 77%
Bundesliga
Finished

Prediction

RB Leipzig64%
Draw31%
FC St. Pauli5%
Pick: RB Leipzig
Confidence
77

AI Analysis

RB Leipzig enters this match in excellent form, boasting a strong home record and a significant advantage in league standing over a struggling FC St. Pauli. St. Pauli's poor away form and defensive vulnerabilities suggest they will struggle to contain Leipzig's potent attack, making a home victory the most probable outcome.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

RB Leipzig enters this match in excellent form, boasting a strong home record and a significant advantage in league standing over a struggling FC St. Pauli. St. Pauli's poor away form and defensive vulnerabilities suggest they will struggle to contain Leipzig's potent attack, making a home victory the most probable outcome.

9 May · 13:16pre_kickoffCurrent
RB Leipzig
64%
Draw
31%
FC St. Pauli
5%
9 May · 06:44Initial
RB Leipzig
64%-1pp
Draw
31%+11pp
FC St. Pauli
5%-10pp
30 Apr · 10:54initial
RB Leipzig
65%
Draw
20%
FC St. Pauli
15%

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RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli result & stats

Final score: RB Leipzig 2–1 FC St. Pauli. RB Leipzig sit 3rd with 62 points from 32 games (19W 5D 8L) in the Bundesliga, while FC St. Pauli are 17th with 26 points from 32 games (6W 8D 18L). RB Leipzig have won 4 of their last 5, while FC St. Pauli are without a win in their last 5 matches. RB Leipzig average 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; FC St. Pauli average 0.8 scored and 1.7 conceded. RB Leipzig have 6 players listed as injured or suspended, FC St. Pauli 5 players. The Goalytics AI model gives RB Leipzig a 64% chance of winning, a draw 31% and FC St. Pauli 5%, favouring RB Leipzig to win with 77% confidence.

RB Leipzig and FC St. Pauli statistics before kick-off
RB LeipzigStatisticFC St. Pauli
3rdLeague position17th
62Points26
19 / 5 / 8Won / Drawn / Lost6 / 8 / 18
+21Goal difference-28
2.0Goals scored per game0.8
1.3Goals conceded per game1.7
6Injured / suspended5

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