RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin Prediction & Preview

RB Leipzig
Moderate · 73%
Bundesliga
Finished

Prediction

RB Leipzig57%
Draw36%
Union Berlin7%
Pick: RB Leipzig
Confidence
73

AI Analysis

RB Leipzig is in formidable form and boasts a strong home record, making them clear favorites against a struggling Union Berlin side. With superior attacking and defensive statistics, Leipzig's momentum and quality are expected to overwhelm Union Berlin, who have a poor away record and are in a downturn.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History2 versions

RB Leipzig is in formidable form and boasts a strong home record, making them clear favorites against a struggling Union Berlin side. With superior attacking and defensive statistics, Leipzig's momentum and quality are expected to overwhelm Union Berlin, who have a poor away record and are in a downturn.

24 Apr · 18:22pre_kickoffCurrent
RB Leipzig
57%-1pp
Draw
36%
Union Berlin
7%+1pp
24 Apr · 06:39Initial
RB Leipzig
58%
Draw
36%
Union Berlin
6%

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RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin result & stats

Final score: RB Leipzig 3–1 Union Berlin. RB Leipzig sit 3rd with 59 points from 30 games (18W 5D 7L) in the Bundesliga, while Union Berlin are 11th with 32 points from 30 games (8W 8D 14L). RB Leipzig have won 4 of their last 5, while Union Berlin have won 1 of their last 5. RB Leipzig average 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Union Berlin average 1.1 scored and 1.7 conceded. RB Leipzig have 6 players listed as injured or suspended, Union Berlin 4 players. The Goalytics AI model gives RB Leipzig a 57% chance of winning, a draw 36% and Union Berlin 7%, favouring RB Leipzig to win with 73% confidence.

RB Leipzig and Union Berlin statistics before kick-off
RB LeipzigStatisticUnion Berlin
3rdLeague position11th
59Points32
18 / 5 / 7Won / Drawn / Lost8 / 8 / 14
+22Goal difference-18
2.0Goals scored per game1.1
1.2Goals conceded per game1.7
6Injured / suspended4

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