Sevilla vs Real Madrid Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 64%
La Liga
Finished
Sevilla
0:1

Prediction

Sevilla21%
Draw43%
Real Madrid36%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
64

AI Analysis

Real Madrid, despite their superior league position and overall strength, will likely face a stern test against an in-form Sevilla at their challenging home ground. With several key players missing or likely rested for Real, Sevilla's recent momentum and improved form could be enough to secure a hard-fought draw.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History2 versions

Real Madrid, despite their superior league position and overall strength, will likely face a stern test against an in-form Sevilla at their challenging home ground. With several key players missing or likely rested for Real, Sevilla's recent momentum and improved form could be enough to secure a hard-fought draw.

17 May · 15:43pre_kickoffCurrent
Sevilla
21%-6pp
Draw
43%+17pp
Real Madrid
36%-11pp
14 May · 07:02initial
Sevilla
27%
Draw
26%
Real Madrid
47%

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Sevilla vs Real Madrid result & stats

Final score: Sevilla 0–1 Real Madrid. Sevilla sit 12th with 43 points from 36 games (12W 7D 17L) in the La Liga, while Real Madrid are 2nd with 80 points from 36 games (25W 5D 6L). Sevilla have won 3 of their last 5, while Real Madrid have won 3 of their last 5. Sevilla average 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Real Madrid average 2.0 scored and 0.9 conceded. Sevilla have 2 players listed as injured or suspended, Real Madrid 6 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Sevilla a 21% chance of winning, a draw 43% and Real Madrid 36%, favouring a draw with 64% confidence.

Sevilla and Real Madrid statistics before kick-off
SevillaStatisticReal Madrid
12thLeague position2nd
43Points80
12 / 7 / 17Won / Drawn / Lost25 / 5 / 6
-12Goal difference+39
1.3Goals scored per game2.0
1.6Goals conceded per game0.9
2Injured / suspended6

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