Spain vs Argentina Prediction & Preview

Spain
Moderate · 66%
World Cup
Finished
Spain
1:0

Prediction

Spain42%
Draw31%
Argentina27%
Pick: Spain
Confidence
66

AI Analysis

Spain's exceptional defensive record, conceding almost nothing on average, makes them a formidable opponent even against Argentina's prolific attack. While both teams are in peak form, Goalytics AI analysis signals a strong likelihood of Spain avoiding defeat and potentially securing a narrow victory.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

Spain's exceptional defensive record, conceding almost nothing on average, makes them a formidable opponent even against Argentina's prolific attack. While both teams are in peak form, Goalytics AI analysis signals a strong likelihood of Spain avoiding defeat and potentially securing a narrow victory.

19 Jul · 18:33pre_kickoffCurrent
Spain
42%+1pp
Draw
31%
Argentina
27%-1pp
19 Jul · 06:00Initial
Spain
41%-1pp
Draw
31%
Argentina
28%+1pp
17 Jul · 06:01initial
Spain
42%
Draw
31%
Argentina
27%

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Spain vs Argentina result & stats

Final score: Spain 1–0 Argentina. Spain have won 5 of their last 5, while Argentina have won 5 of their last 5. Spain average 2.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game at home; Argentina average 2.5 scored and 1.0 conceded away from home. The Goalytics AI model gives Spain a 42% chance of winning, a draw 31% and Argentina 27%, favouring Spain to win with 66% confidence.

Spain and Argentina statistics before kick-off
SpainStatisticArgentina
1.9Goals scored per game2.7
0.1Goals conceded per game1.0
6Clean sheets2
1Failed to score0

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