Sunderland vs Brighton Prediction & Preview

Draw
Moderate · 65%
Premier League
Finished
0:2

Prediction

Sunderland23%
Draw44%
Brighton33%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
65

AI Analysis

This match is poised for a draw, primarily due to Sunderland's resilience at home potentially neutralizing Brighton's superior form and attacking firepower. Despite Brighton's strong league position and goal-scoring record, a combination of key injuries and Sunderland's defensive effort at home could lead to a stalemate.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

This match is poised for a draw, primarily due to Sunderland's resilience at home potentially neutralizing Brighton's superior form and attacking firepower. Despite Brighton's strong league position and goal-scoring record, a combination of key injuries and Sunderland's defensive effort at home could lead to a stalemate.

10 Oct · 13:34pre_kickoffCurrent
Sunderland
23%
Draw
44%
Brighton
33%
10 Oct · 06:03Initial
Sunderland
23%-11pp
Draw
44%+16pp
Brighton
33%-5pp
27 Sept · 06:32initial
Sunderland
34%
Draw
28%
Brighton
38%

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Sunderland vs Brighton result & stats

Final score: Sunderland 0–2 Brighton. Sunderland sit 14th with 4 points from 5 games (1W 1D 3L) in the Premier League, while Brighton are 3rd with 10 points from 5 games (3W 1D 1L). Sunderland have won 1 of their last 5, while Brighton have won 3 of their last 5. Sunderland average 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home; Brighton average 4.0 scored and 2.0 conceded away from home. Sunderland have 4 players listed as injured or suspended, Brighton 9 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Sunderland a 23% chance of winning, a draw 44% and Brighton 33%, favouring a draw with 65% confidence.

Sunderland and Brighton statistics before kick-off
SunderlandStatisticBrighton
14thLeague position3rd
4Points10
1 / 1 / 3Won / Drawn / Lost3 / 1 / 1
-4Goal difference+11
1.2Goals scored per game3.2
2.0Goals conceded per game1.0
1Clean sheets3
1Failed to score0
4Injured / suspended9

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