Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 58%
Bundesliga
Finished

Prediction

Union Berlin31%
Draw44%
1. FC Köln25%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
58

AI Analysis

This crucial relegation battle sees Union Berlin, despite their alarming recent form, predicted to triumph at home against 1. FC Köln. The decisive factors appear to be Union's strong head-to-head record against Köln and the home advantage in a high-stakes encounter, which the bookmakers and a Poisson distribution model also reflect.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

This crucial relegation battle sees Union Berlin, despite their alarming recent form, predicted to triumph at home against 1. FC Köln. The decisive factors appear to be Union's strong head-to-head record against Köln and the home advantage in a high-stakes encounter, which the bookmakers and a Poisson distribution model also reflect.

2 May · 13:16pre_kickoffCurrent
Union Berlin
31%-8pp
Draw
44%+15pp
1. FC Köln
25%-7pp
2 May · 06:41Initial
Union Berlin
39%
Draw
29%+1pp
1. FC Köln
32%-1pp
30 Apr · 06:54initial
Union Berlin
39%
Draw
28%
1. FC Köln
33%

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Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln result & stats

Final score: Union Berlin 2–2 1. FC Köln. Union Berlin sit 13th with 32 points from 31 games (8W 8D 15L) in the Bundesliga, while 1. FC Köln are 14th with 31 points from 31 games (7W 10D 14L). Union Berlin are without a win in their last 5 matches, while 1. FC Köln have won 1 of their last 5. Union Berlin average 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; 1. FC Köln average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded. Union Berlin have 4 players listed as injured or suspended, 1. FC Köln 4 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Union Berlin a 31% chance of winning, a draw 44% and 1. FC Köln 25%, favouring a draw with 58% confidence.

Union Berlin and 1. FC Köln statistics before kick-off
Union BerlinStatistic1. FC Köln
13thLeague position14th
32Points31
8 / 8 / 15Won / Drawn / Lost7 / 10 / 14
-20Goal difference-8
1.1Goals scored per game1.5
1.8Goals conceded per game1.7
4Injured / suspended4

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