Valencia vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Preview

Valencia
Cautious · 64%
La Liga
Finished

Prediction

Valencia46%
Draw40%
Atletico14%
Pick: Valencia
Confidence
64

AI Analysis

Valencia is poised to capitalize on Atletico Madrid's catastrophic run of form, as the visitors have lost their last four league matches. Combined with Valencia's respectable home record and Atletico's struggles on the road, the hosts have a strong chance to secure a victory at Mestalla.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

Valencia is poised to capitalize on Atletico Madrid's catastrophic run of form, as the visitors have lost their last four league matches. Combined with Valencia's respectable home record and Atletico's struggles on the road, the hosts have a strong chance to secure a victory at Mestalla.

2 May · 13:52pre_kickoffCurrent
Valencia
46%-8pp
Draw
40%+15pp
Atletico Madrid
14%-7pp
2 May · 06:40Initial
Valencia
54%+3pp
Draw
25%
Atletico Madrid
21%-3pp
30 Apr · 06:57initial
Valencia
51%
Draw
25%
Atletico Madrid
24%

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Valencia vs Atletico Madrid result & stats

Final score: Valencia 0–2 Atletico Madrid. Valencia sit 12th with 39 points from 33 games (10W 9D 14L) in the La Liga, while Atletico Madrid are 4th with 60 points from 33 games (18W 6D 9L). Valencia have won 2 of their last 5, while Atletico Madrid have won 1 of their last 5. Valencia average 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Atletico Madrid average 1.7 scored and 1.1 conceded. Valencia have 6 players listed as injured or suspended, Atletico Madrid 8 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Valencia a 46% chance of winning, a draw 40% and Atletico Madrid 14%, favouring Valencia to win with 64% confidence.

Valencia and Atletico Madrid statistics before kick-off
ValenciaStatisticAtletico
12thLeague position4th
39Points60
10 / 9 / 14Won / Drawn / Lost18 / 6 / 9
-11Goal difference+19
1.1Goals scored per game1.7
1.5Goals conceded per game1.1
6Injured / suspended8

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