VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 58%
Bundesliga
Finished

Prediction

VfB Stuttgart34%
Draw36%
Bayer30%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
58

AI Analysis

This match pits two incredibly evenly matched teams against each other, both sitting on 58 points with identical W-D-L records, making a draw a highly probable outcome. While Stuttgart boasts a formidable home record, Bayer Leverkusen's superior recent form and solid away performances suggest they have the resilience to secure a point.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

This match pits two incredibly evenly matched teams against each other, both sitting on 58 points with identical W-D-L records, making a draw a highly probable outcome. While Stuttgart boasts a formidable home record, Bayer Leverkusen's superior recent form and solid away performances suggest they have the resilience to secure a point.

9 May · 13:16pre_kickoffCurrent
VfB Stuttgart
34%-2pp
Draw
36%
Bayer Leverkusen
30%+2pp
9 May · 06:44Initial
VfB Stuttgart
36%-9pp
Draw
36%+12pp
Bayer Leverkusen
28%-3pp
30 Apr · 10:54initial
VfB Stuttgart
45%
Draw
24%
Bayer Leverkusen
31%

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VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen result & stats

Final score: VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Bayer Leverkusen. VfB Stuttgart sit 5th with 58 points from 32 games (17W 7D 8L) in the Bundesliga, while Bayer Leverkusen are 4th with 58 points from 32 games (17W 7D 8L). VfB Stuttgart have won 1 of their last 5, while Bayer Leverkusen have won 4 of their last 5. VfB Stuttgart average 2.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Bayer Leverkusen average 2.1 scored and 1.3 conceded. VfB Stuttgart have 3 players listed as injured or suspended, Bayer Leverkusen 1 player. The Goalytics AI model gives VfB Stuttgart a 34% chance of winning, a draw 36% and Bayer Leverkusen 30%, favouring a draw with 58% confidence.

VfB Stuttgart and Bayer Leverkusen statistics before kick-off
VfB StuttgartStatisticBayer
5thLeague position4th
58Points58
17 / 7 / 8Won / Drawn / Lost17 / 7 / 8
+20Goal difference+23
2.1Goals scored per game2.1
1.4Goals conceded per game1.3
3Injured / suspended1

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