Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Preview

Draw
Moderate · 65%
Bundesliga
Finished

Prediction

Werder22%
Draw40%
Borussia D.38%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
65

AI Analysis

Borussia Dortmund, despite their superior league position and attacking prowess, have shown recent inconsistency, particularly away from home, and face significant injury concerns. Werder Bremen, fighting for survival and with key players also sidelined, could leverage their home advantage against a potentially fatigued or less motivated Dortmund side to force a stalemate.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

Borussia Dortmund, despite their superior league position and attacking prowess, have shown recent inconsistency, particularly away from home, and face significant injury concerns. Werder Bremen, fighting for survival and with key players also sidelined, could leverage their home advantage against a potentially fatigued or less motivated Dortmund side to force a stalemate.

16 May · 13:18pre_kickoffCurrent
Werder Bremen
22%+1pp
Draw
40%
Borussia Dortmund
38%-1pp
16 May · 06:48Initial
Werder Bremen
21%-6pp
Draw
40%+18pp
Borussia Dortmund
39%-12pp
5 May · 06:49initial
Werder Bremen
27%
Draw
22%
Borussia Dortmund
51%

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Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund result & stats

Final score: Werder Bremen 0–2 Borussia Dortmund. Werder Bremen sit 15th with 32 points from 33 games (8W 8D 17L) in the Bundesliga, while Borussia Dortmund are 2nd with 70 points from 33 games (21W 7D 5L). Werder Bremen have won 1 of their last 5, while Borussia Dortmund have won 2 of their last 5. Werder Bremen average 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Borussia Dortmund average 2.1 scored and 1.0 conceded. Werder Bremen have 6 players listed as injured or suspended, Borussia Dortmund 2 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Werder Bremen a 22% chance of winning, a draw 40% and Borussia Dortmund 38%, favouring a draw with 65% confidence.

Werder Bremen and Borussia Dortmund statistics before kick-off
WerderStatisticBorussia D.
15thLeague position2nd
32Points70
8 / 8 / 17Won / Drawn / Lost21 / 7 / 5
-21Goal difference+34
1.1Goals scored per game2.1
1.8Goals conceded per game1.0
6Injured / suspended2

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