Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 58%
Bundesliga
Finished

Prediction

Werder40%
Draw42%
Hamburger SV18%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
58

AI Analysis

This crucial northern derby is poised for a draw, primarily due to the remarkably similar attacking output and inconsistent recent form of both Werder Bremen and Hamburger SV. Neither side displays a convincing edge in league standing, home/away performance, or overall squad strength, making a shared point the most probable outcome for two teams battling near the relegation zone.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History1 version

This crucial northern derby is poised for a draw, primarily due to the remarkably similar attacking output and inconsistent recent form of both Werder Bremen and Hamburger SV. Neither side displays a convincing edge in league standing, home/away performance, or overall squad strength, making a shared point the most probable outcome for two teams battling near the relegation zone.

18 Apr · 06:27Initial
Werder Bremen
40%
Draw
42%
Hamburger SV
18%

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Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV result & stats

Final score: Werder Bremen 3–1 Hamburger SV. Werder Bremen sit 15th with 28 points from 29 games (7W 7D 15L) in the Bundesliga, while Hamburger SV are 13th with 31 points from 29 games (7W 10D 12L). Werder Bremen have won 2 of their last 5, while Hamburger SV have won 1 of their last 5. Werder Bremen average 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Hamburger SV average 1.1 scored and 1.6 conceded. Werder Bremen have 9 players listed as injured or suspended, Hamburger SV 5 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Werder Bremen a 40% chance of winning, a draw 42% and Hamburger SV 18%, favouring a draw with 58% confidence.

Werder Bremen and Hamburger SV statistics before kick-off
WerderStatisticHamburger SV
15thLeague position13th
28Points31
7 / 7 / 15Won / Drawn / Lost7 / 10 / 12
-20Goal difference-13
1.1Goals scored per game1.1
1.8Goals conceded per game1.6
9Injured / suspended5

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