West Ham vs Arsenal Prediction & Preview

Arsenal
Moderate · 74%
Premier League
Finished
0:1
Arsenal

Prediction

West Ham13%
Draw35%
Arsenal52%
Pick: Arsenal
Confidence
74

AI Analysis

Arsenal are heavily favored to win this London derby, propelled by their dominant league position and superior attacking and defensive statistics. West Ham's inconsistent form and poor home record, coupled with a significant injury to their first-choice goalkeeper, highlight the uphill battle they face against a title-chasing Arsenal side.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

Arsenal are heavily favored to win this London derby, propelled by their dominant league position and superior attacking and defensive statistics. West Ham's inconsistent form and poor home record, coupled with a significant injury to their first-choice goalkeeper, highlight the uphill battle they face against a title-chasing Arsenal side.

10 May · 14:59pre_kickoffCurrent
West Ham
13%
Draw
35%
Arsenal
52%
10 May · 06:57Initial
West Ham
13%-6pp
Draw
35%+11pp
Arsenal
52%-5pp
1 May · 06:57initial
West Ham
19%
Draw
24%
Arsenal
57%

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West Ham vs Arsenal result & stats

Final score: West Ham 0–1 Arsenal. West Ham sit 18th with 36 points from 35 games (9W 9D 17L) in the Premier League, while Arsenal are 1st with 76 points from 35 games (23W 7D 5L). West Ham have won 2 of their last 5, while Arsenal have won 3 of their last 5. West Ham average 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game; Arsenal average 1.9 scored and 0.7 conceded. West Ham have 1 player listed as injured or suspended, Arsenal 2 players. The Goalytics AI model gives West Ham a 13% chance of winning, a draw 35% and Arsenal 52%, favouring Arsenal to win with 74% confidence.

West Ham and Arsenal statistics before kick-off
West HamStatisticArsenal
18thLeague position1st
36Points76
9 / 9 / 17Won / Drawn / Lost23 / 7 / 5
-19Goal difference+41
1.2Goals scored per game1.9
1.7Goals conceded per game0.7
1Injured / suspended2

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