Real Madrid vs Alaves Prediction & Preview

Real Madrid
High · 78%
La Liga
Finished
2:1
Alaves

Prediction

Real Madrid69%
Draw26%
Alaves5%
Pick: Real Madrid
Confidence
78

AI Analysis

Real Madrid is strongly favored to win this match due to their superior league position, dominant home form, and significantly stronger attacking and defensive records. Facing a struggling Alaves side with a poor away record, Real Madrid's overall quality and consistency should prove overwhelming, even with a few key players out.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History2 versions

Real Madrid is strongly favored to win this match due to their superior league position, dominant home form, and significantly stronger attacking and defensive records. Facing a struggling Alaves side with a poor away record, Real Madrid's overall quality and consistency should prove overwhelming, even with a few key players out.

21 Apr · 19:12pre_kickoffCurrent
Real Madrid
69%+1pp
Draw
26%-1pp
Alaves
5%
21 Apr · 06:39Initial
Real Madrid
68%
Draw
27%
Alaves
5%

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Real Madrid vs Alaves result & stats

Final score: Real Madrid 2–1 Alaves. Real Madrid sit 2nd with 70 points from 31 games (22W 4D 5L) in the La Liga, while Alaves are 17th with 33 points from 31 games (8W 9D 14L). Real Madrid have won 3 of their last 5, while Alaves have won 1 of their last 5. Real Madrid average 2.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game; Alaves average 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded. Real Madrid have 3 players listed as injured or suspended, Alaves 3 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Real Madrid a 69% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Alaves 5%, favouring Real Madrid to win with 78% confidence.

Real Madrid and Alaves statistics before kick-off
Real MadridStatisticAlaves
2ndLeague position17th
70Points33
22 / 4 / 5Won / Drawn / Lost8 / 9 / 14
+36Goal difference-11
2.1Goals scored per game1.1
0.9Goals conceded per game1.5
3Injured / suspended3

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