Sevilla vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 63%
La Liga
Finished

Prediction

Sevilla31%
Draw45%
Real Sociedad24%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
63

AI Analysis

This match pits two teams in inconsistent form against each other, making a draw a highly plausible outcome. Sevilla, battling relegation, will be desperate for points at home, while Real Sociedad's away form has often resulted in stalemates due to their struggles to convert opportunities into wins. Given their similar defensive vulnerabilities and neither team showing strong attacking dominance, a tightly contested match where both sides cancel each other out seems likely.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

This match pits two teams in inconsistent form against each other, making a draw a highly plausible outcome. Sevilla, battling relegation, will be desperate for points at home, while Real Sociedad's away form has often resulted in stalemates due to their struggles to convert opportunities into wins. Given their similar defensive vulnerabilities and neither team showing strong attacking dominance, a tightly contested match where both sides cancel each other out seems likely.

4 May · 18:57pre_kickoffCurrent
Sevilla
31%
Draw
45%+1pp
Real Sociedad
24%-1pp
4 May · 07:02Initial
Sevilla
31%-8pp
Draw
44%+16pp
Real Sociedad
25%-8pp
30 Apr · 10:47Initial
Sevilla
39%
Draw
28%
Real Sociedad
33%

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Sevilla vs Real Sociedad result & stats

Final score: Sevilla 1–0 Real Sociedad. Sevilla sit 18th with 34 points from 33 games (9W 7D 17L) in the La Liga, while Real Sociedad are 9th with 43 points from 33 games (11W 10D 12L). Sevilla have won 1 of their last 5, while Real Sociedad have won 1 of their last 5. Sevilla average 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game; Real Sociedad average 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded. Sevilla have 3 players listed as injured or suspended, Real Sociedad 5 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Sevilla a 31% chance of winning, a draw 45% and Real Sociedad 24%, favouring a draw with 63% confidence.

Sevilla and Real Sociedad statistics before kick-off
SevillaStatisticReal Sociedad
18thLeague position9th
34Points43
9 / 7 / 17Won / Drawn / Lost11 / 10 / 12
-15Goal difference0
1.2Goals scored per game1.6
1.7Goals conceded per game1.6
3Injured / suspended5

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